Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Burnley to win, giving Burnley a
43.3% probability. Most likely scoreline: 2–1,
with a 55.4% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Burnley 43.3%Draw 24.6%Leicester 32.2%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
2–1
Expected goals (xG)
1.57 – 1.33
Over 2.5 goals
55.4%
Under 2.5 goals
44.6%
Team rating (Elo)
1288 vs 1306
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Burnley vs Leicester?
Our AI model favours Burnley to win — Burnley 43.3%, draw 24.6%, Leicester 32.2%. Burnley is the model's pick at 43.3%.
What is the predicted score for Burnley vs Leicester?
The model's most likely scoreline is 2–1 (Burnley 2, Leicester 1).
Will Burnley vs Leicester have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 55.4% chance of over 2.5 goals and 44.6% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.