Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Brighton to win, giving Brighton a
53.9% probability. Most likely scoreline: 1–2,
with a 58.2% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Burnley 23.5%Draw 22.6%Brighton 53.9%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
1–2
Expected goals (xG)
1.16 – 1.87
Over 2.5 goals
58.2%
Under 2.5 goals
41.8%
Team rating (Elo)
1288 vs 1489
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Burnley vs Brighton?
Our AI model favours Brighton to win — Burnley 23.5%, draw 22.6%, Brighton 53.9%. Brighton is the model's pick at 53.9%.
What is the predicted score for Burnley vs Brighton?
The model's most likely scoreline is 1–2 (Burnley 1, Brighton 2).
Will Burnley vs Brighton have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 58.2% chance of over 2.5 goals and 41.8% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.