Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Brentford to win, giving Brentford a
53.5% probability. Most likely scoreline: 1–2,
with a 59.1% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Burnley 23.9%Draw 22.5%Brentford 53.5%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
1–2
Expected goals (xG)
1.19 – 1.88
Over 2.5 goals
59.1%
Under 2.5 goals
40.9%
Team rating (Elo)
1288 vs 1481
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Burnley vs Brentford?
Our AI model favours Brentford to win — Burnley 23.9%, draw 22.5%, Brentford 53.5%. Brentford is the model's pick at 53.5%.
What is the predicted score for Burnley vs Brentford?
The model's most likely scoreline is 1–2 (Burnley 1, Brentford 2).
Will Burnley vs Brentford have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 59.1% chance of over 2.5 goals and 40.9% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.