Burnley vs Bournemouth Prediction & Model Analysis
Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Bournemouth to win, giving Bournemouth a
57.7% probability. Most likely scoreline: 1–2,
with a 59.4% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Burnley 20.7%Draw 21.6%Bournemouth 57.7%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
1–2
Expected goals (xG)
1.1 – 1.98
Over 2.5 goals
59.4%
Under 2.5 goals
40.6%
Team rating (Elo)
1288 vs 1524
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Burnley vs Bournemouth?
Our AI model favours Bournemouth to win — Burnley 20.7%, draw 21.6%, Bournemouth 57.7%. Bournemouth is the model's pick at 57.7%.
What is the predicted score for Burnley vs Bournemouth?
The model's most likely scoreline is 1–2 (Burnley 1, Bournemouth 2).
Will Burnley vs Bournemouth have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 59.4% chance of over 2.5 goals and 40.6% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.