Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Man United to win, giving Man United a
40.8% probability. Most likely scoreline: 1–2,
with a 54.4% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Everton 34.3%Draw 24.9%Man United 40.8%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
1–2
Expected goals (xG)
1.35 – 1.5
Over 2.5 goals
54.4%
Under 2.5 goals
45.6%
Team rating (Elo)
1450 vs 1555
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Everton vs Man United?
Our AI model favours Man United to win — Everton 34.3%, draw 24.9%, Man United 40.8%. Man United is the model's pick at 40.8%.
What is the predicted score for Everton vs Man United?
The model's most likely scoreline is 1–2 (Everton 1, Man United 2).
Will Everton vs Man United have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 54.4% chance of over 2.5 goals and 45.6% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.