Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Arsenal to win, giving Arsenal a
53.9% probability. Most likely scoreline: 1–2,
with a 54.0% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Everton 22.8%Draw 23.4%Arsenal 53.9%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
1–2
Expected goals (xG)
1.07 – 1.77
Over 2.5 goals
54.0%
Under 2.5 goals
46.0%
Team rating (Elo)
1450 vs 1666
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Everton vs Arsenal?
Our AI model favours Arsenal to win — Everton 22.8%, draw 23.4%, Arsenal 53.9%. Arsenal is the model's pick at 53.9%.
What is the predicted score for Everton vs Arsenal?
The model's most likely scoreline is 1–2 (Everton 1, Arsenal 2).
Will Everton vs Arsenal have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 54.0% chance of over 2.5 goals and 46.0% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.