Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Chelsea to win, giving Chelsea a
37.7% probability. Most likely scoreline: 1–1,
with a 55.2% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Everton 37.5%Draw 24.8%Chelsea 37.7%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
1–1
Expected goals (xG)
1.44 – 1.45
Over 2.5 goals
55.2%
Under 2.5 goals
44.8%
Team rating (Elo)
1450 vs 1485
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Everton vs Chelsea?
Our AI model favours Chelsea to win — Everton 37.5%, draw 24.8%, Chelsea 37.7%. Chelsea is the model's pick at 37.7%.
What is the predicted score for Everton vs Chelsea?
The model's most likely scoreline is 1–1 (Everton 1, Chelsea 1).
Will Everton vs Chelsea have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 55.2% chance of over 2.5 goals and 44.8% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.