Everton vs Bournemouth Prediction & Model Analysis
Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Bournemouth to win, giving Bournemouth a
39.9% probability. Most likely scoreline: 1–1,
with a 54.7% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Everton 35.2%Draw 24.9%Bournemouth 39.9%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
1–1
Expected goals (xG)
1.38 – 1.49
Over 2.5 goals
54.7%
Under 2.5 goals
45.3%
Team rating (Elo)
1450 vs 1524
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Everton vs Bournemouth?
Our AI model favours Bournemouth to win — Everton 35.2%, draw 24.9%, Bournemouth 39.9%. Bournemouth is the model's pick at 39.9%.
What is the predicted score for Everton vs Bournemouth?
The model's most likely scoreline is 1–1 (Everton 1, Bournemouth 1).
Will Everton vs Bournemouth have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 54.7% chance of over 2.5 goals and 45.3% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.