Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Everton to win, giving Everton a
60.3% probability. Most likely scoreline: 2–1,
with a 57.2% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Everton 60.3%Draw 21.3%Burnley 18.4%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
2–1
Expected goals (xG)
1.98 – 1.0
Over 2.5 goals
57.2%
Under 2.5 goals
42.8%
Team rating (Elo)
1450 vs 1288
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Everton vs Burnley?
Our AI model favours Everton to win — Everton 60.3%, draw 21.3%, Burnley 18.4%. Everton is the model's pick at 60.3%.
What is the predicted score for Everton vs Burnley?
The model's most likely scoreline is 2–1 (Everton 2, Burnley 1).
Will Everton vs Burnley have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 57.2% chance of over 2.5 goals and 42.8% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.