Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Man United to win, giving Man United a
41.4% probability. Most likely scoreline: 1–2,
with a 56.6% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Leeds 34.1%Draw 24.4%Man United 41.4%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
1–2
Expected goals (xG)
1.39 – 1.56
Over 2.5 goals
56.6%
Under 2.5 goals
43.4%
Team rating (Elo)
1425 vs 1555
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Leeds vs Man United?
Our AI model favours Man United to win — Leeds 34.1%, draw 24.4%, Man United 41.4%. Man United is the model's pick at 41.4%.
What is the predicted score for Leeds vs Man United?
The model's most likely scoreline is 1–2 (Leeds 1, Man United 2).
Will Leeds vs Man United have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 56.6% chance of over 2.5 goals and 43.4% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.