Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Aston Villa to win, giving Aston Villa a
40.5% probability. Most likely scoreline: 1–2,
with a 56.0% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Leeds 34.9%Draw 24.6%Aston Villa 40.5%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
1–2
Expected goals (xG)
1.4 – 1.52
Over 2.5 goals
56.0%
Under 2.5 goals
44.0%
Team rating (Elo)
1425 vs 1542
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Leeds vs Aston Villa?
Our AI model favours Aston Villa to win — Leeds 34.9%, draw 24.6%, Aston Villa 40.5%. Aston Villa is the model's pick at 40.5%.
What is the predicted score for Leeds vs Aston Villa?
The model's most likely scoreline is 1–2 (Leeds 1, Aston Villa 2).
Will Leeds vs Aston Villa have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 56.0% chance of over 2.5 goals and 44.0% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.