Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Leeds to win, giving Leeds a
60.6% probability. Most likely scoreline: 2–1,
with a 59.3% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Leeds 60.6%Draw 20.9%Burnley 18.5%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
2–1
Expected goals (xG)
2.04 – 1.03
Over 2.5 goals
59.3%
Under 2.5 goals
40.7%
Team rating (Elo)
1425 vs 1288
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Leeds vs Burnley?
Our AI model favours Leeds to win — Leeds 60.6%, draw 20.9%, Burnley 18.5%. Leeds is the model's pick at 60.6%.
What is the predicted score for Leeds vs Burnley?
The model's most likely scoreline is 2–1 (Leeds 2, Burnley 1).
Will Leeds vs Burnley have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 59.3% chance of over 2.5 goals and 40.7% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.