Verifiable · logged before kickoff, scored on real results · updated July 10, 2026
The Soccer Predictor model is trained on ~49,400 matches (about
59.8% backtested winner accuracy). Below is its live, verifiable
performance across the 2026 World Cup — every prediction logged before kickoff and scored against
the actual result. No cherry-picking.
2026 World Cup — live results (97 matches)
60.8%
Winner accuracy (overall)
68.0%
Winner accuracy (knockouts)
7/8
Round of 16 winners
97
Matches predicted
Phase
Winner accuracy
Group stage
58.3% (42/72)
Knockout rounds
68.0% (17/25)
Round of 16
87.5% (7/8)
Overall
60.8% (59/97)
The honest part: the model's edge is in picking winners, not covering spreads.
Its Asian-handicap hit rate is about 49.5% (97 bets) — roughly a
coin flip. We publish this instead of hiding it. Its most valuable trait is knowing when the betting
market is right and staying out — not just when it's wrong.
Frequently asked questions
How accurate is the Soccer Predictor model?
Across 97 World Cup 2026 matches the model called the winner correctly 60.8% of the time — rising to 68.0% in the knockout rounds and 7 of 8 in the Round of 16. Its underlying model is trained on ~49,400 matches with about 59.8% backtested winner accuracy.
Is the track record verifiable?
Yes. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and scored against the actual result, published openly at soccerpredictor26.com — not a cherry-picked highlight reel.
What about the Asian handicap / spread?
Honestly, the model's edge is in picking winners, not covering spreads: its Asian-handicap hit rate is about 49.5% (97 bets) — roughly a coin flip. We publish this rather than hide it.
Disclaimer: For statistical analysis and entertainment only. Not betting advice.
Accuracy figures reflect historical performance and do not guarantee future results.
Any decision made using this information is at your own risk. 18+.
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