Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Newcastle to win, giving Newcastle a
46.3% probability. Most likely scoreline: 2–1,
with a 56.5% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Newcastle 46.3%Draw 24.1%Fulham 29.7%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
2–1
Expected goals (xG)
1.66 – 1.29
Over 2.5 goals
56.5%
Under 2.5 goals
43.5%
Team rating (Elo)
1474 vs 1464
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Newcastle vs Fulham?
Our AI model favours Newcastle to win — Newcastle 46.3%, draw 24.1%, Fulham 29.7%. Newcastle is the model's pick at 46.3%.
What is the predicted score for Newcastle vs Fulham?
The model's most likely scoreline is 2–1 (Newcastle 2, Fulham 1).
Will Newcastle vs Fulham have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 56.5% chance of over 2.5 goals and 43.5% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.