Newcastle vs Crystal Palace Prediction & Model Analysis
Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Newcastle to win, giving Newcastle a
47.2% probability. Most likely scoreline: 2–1,
with a 58.0% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Newcastle 47.2%Draw 23.7%Crystal Palace 29.1%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
2–1
Expected goals (xG)
1.71 – 1.3
Over 2.5 goals
58.0%
Under 2.5 goals
42.0%
Team rating (Elo)
1474 vs 1446
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Newcastle vs Crystal Palace?
Our AI model favours Newcastle to win — Newcastle 47.2%, draw 23.7%, Crystal Palace 29.1%. Newcastle is the model's pick at 47.2%.
What is the predicted score for Newcastle vs Crystal Palace?
The model's most likely scoreline is 2–1 (Newcastle 2, Crystal Palace 1).
Will Newcastle vs Crystal Palace have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 58.0% chance of over 2.5 goals and 42.0% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.