Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Liverpool to win, giving Liverpool a
38.7% probability. Most likely scoreline: 2–2,
with a 58.9% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Liverpool 38.7%Draw 24.0%Man City 37.3%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
2–2
Expected goals (xG)
1.54 – 1.51
Over 2.5 goals
58.9%
Under 2.5 goals
41.1%
Team rating (Elo)
1556 vs 1642
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Liverpool vs Man City?
Our AI model favours Liverpool to win — Liverpool 38.7%, draw 24.0%, Man City 37.3%. Liverpool is the model's pick at 38.7%.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Man City?
The model's most likely scoreline is 2–2 (Liverpool 2, Man City 2).
Will Liverpool vs Man City have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 58.9% chance of over 2.5 goals and 41.1% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.