Liverpool vs Aston Villa Prediction & Model Analysis
Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Liverpool to win, giving Liverpool a
49.5% probability. Most likely scoreline: 2–1,
with a 59.0% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Liverpool 49.5%Draw 23.2%Aston Villa 27.3%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
2–1
Expected goals (xG)
1.79 – 1.27
Over 2.5 goals
59.0%
Under 2.5 goals
41.0%
Team rating (Elo)
1556 vs 1542
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Liverpool vs Aston Villa?
Our AI model favours Liverpool to win — Liverpool 49.5%, draw 23.2%, Aston Villa 27.3%. Liverpool is the model's pick at 49.5%.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Aston Villa?
The model's most likely scoreline is 2–1 (Liverpool 2, Aston Villa 1).
Will Liverpool vs Aston Villa have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 59.0% chance of over 2.5 goals and 41.0% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.