Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Leicester to win, giving Leicester a
44.0% probability. Most likely scoreline: 2–1,
with a 55.5% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Leicester 44.0%Draw 24.5%Burnley 31.5%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
2–1
Expected goals (xG)
1.59 – 1.31
Over 2.5 goals
55.5%
Under 2.5 goals
44.5%
Team rating (Elo)
1306 vs 1288
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Leicester vs Burnley?
Our AI model favours Leicester to win — Leicester 44.0%, draw 24.5%, Burnley 31.5%. Leicester is the model's pick at 44.0%.
What is the predicted score for Leicester vs Burnley?
The model's most likely scoreline is 2–1 (Leicester 2, Burnley 1).
Will Leicester vs Burnley have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 55.5% chance of over 2.5 goals and 44.5% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.