Leicester vs Aston Villa Prediction & Model Analysis
Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Aston Villa to win, giving Aston Villa a
57.0% probability. Most likely scoreline: 1–2,
with a 58.5% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Leicester 21.1%Draw 21.9%Aston Villa 57.0%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
1–2
Expected goals (xG)
1.1 – 1.94
Over 2.5 goals
58.5%
Under 2.5 goals
41.5%
Team rating (Elo)
1306 vs 1542
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Leicester vs Aston Villa?
Our AI model favours Aston Villa to win — Leicester 21.1%, draw 21.9%, Aston Villa 57.0%. Aston Villa is the model's pick at 57.0%.
What is the predicted score for Leicester vs Aston Villa?
The model's most likely scoreline is 1–2 (Leicester 1, Aston Villa 2).
Will Leicester vs Aston Villa have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 58.5% chance of over 2.5 goals and 41.5% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.