Aston Villa vs Burnley Prediction & Model Analysis
Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Aston Villa to win, giving Aston Villa a
69.3% probability. Most likely scoreline: 2–1,
with a 62.8% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Aston Villa 69.3%Draw 17.7%Burnley 12.9%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
2–1
Expected goals (xG)
2.33 – 0.9
Over 2.5 goals
62.8%
Under 2.5 goals
37.2%
Team rating (Elo)
1542 vs 1288
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Aston Villa vs Burnley?
Our AI model favours Aston Villa to win — Aston Villa 69.3%, draw 17.7%, Burnley 12.9%. Aston Villa is the model's pick at 69.3%.
What is the predicted score for Aston Villa vs Burnley?
The model's most likely scoreline is 2–1 (Aston Villa 2, Burnley 1).
Will Aston Villa vs Burnley have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 62.8% chance of over 2.5 goals and 37.2% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.