Aston Villa vs Arsenal Prediction & Model Analysis
Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Arsenal to win, giving Arsenal a
45.9% probability. Most likely scoreline: 1–2,
with a 54.6% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Aston Villa 29.6%Draw 24.5%Arsenal 45.9%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
1–2
Expected goals (xG)
1.25 – 1.61
Over 2.5 goals
54.6%
Under 2.5 goals
45.4%
Team rating (Elo)
1542 vs 1666
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Aston Villa vs Arsenal?
Our AI model favours Arsenal to win — Aston Villa 29.6%, draw 24.5%, Arsenal 45.9%. Arsenal is the model's pick at 45.9%.
What is the predicted score for Aston Villa vs Arsenal?
The model's most likely scoreline is 1–2 (Aston Villa 1, Arsenal 2).
Will Aston Villa vs Arsenal have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 54.6% chance of over 2.5 goals and 45.4% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.