Newcastle vs Arsenal Prediction & Model Analysis

Champions League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Arsenal to win, giving Arsenal a 57.1% probability. Most likely scoreline: 0–0, with a 0% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Win probability

Newcastle 21.8% Draw 21.2% Arsenal 57.1%

Model breakdown

MetricValue
Predicted score0–0
Expected goals (xG)1.19 – 2.05
Over 2.5 goals0%
Under 2.5 goals0%
Team rating (Elo)1566 vs 1742

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Newcastle vs Arsenal?
Our AI model favours Arsenal to win — Newcastle 21.8%, draw 21.2%, Arsenal 57.1%. Arsenal is the model's pick at 57.1%.
What is the predicted score for Newcastle vs Arsenal?
The model's most likely scoreline is 0–0 (Newcastle 0, Arsenal 0).
Will Newcastle vs Arsenal have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 0% chance of over 2.5 goals and 0% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
▶ See the full live model & track record at Soccer Predictor

More Champions League predictions

Newcastle vs AjaxNewcastle vs AtalantaNewcastle vs Athletic ClubNewcastle vs Atlético MadridNewcastle vs BarcelonaNewcastle vs Bayern MunichNewcastle vs BenficaNewcastle vs Bodø/Glimt

Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.