Champions League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Napoli to win, giving Napoli a
45.1% probability. Most likely scoreline: 0–0,
with a 0% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Napoli 45.1%Draw 20.4%Ajax 34.5%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
0–0
Expected goals (xG)
2.16 – 1.88
Over 2.5 goals
0%
Under 2.5 goals
0%
Team rating (Elo)
1669 vs 1688
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Napoli vs Ajax?
Our AI model favours Napoli to win — Napoli 45.1%, draw 20.4%, Ajax 34.5%. Napoli is the model's pick at 45.1%.
What is the predicted score for Napoli vs Ajax?
The model's most likely scoreline is 0–0 (Napoli 0, Ajax 0).
Will Napoli vs Ajax have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 0% chance of over 2.5 goals and 0% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.