Liverpool vs Manchester City Prediction & Model Analysis
Champions League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Manchester City to win, giving Manchester City a
42.3% probability. Most likely scoreline: 0–0,
with a 0% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Liverpool 34.6%Draw 23.1%Manchester City 42.3%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
0–0
Expected goals (xG)
1.53 – 1.72
Over 2.5 goals
0%
Under 2.5 goals
0%
Team rating (Elo)
1767 vs 1876
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Liverpool vs Manchester City?
Our AI model favours Manchester City to win — Liverpool 34.6%, draw 23.1%, Manchester City 42.3%. Manchester City is the model's pick at 42.3%.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Manchester City?
The model's most likely scoreline is 0–0 (Liverpool 0, Manchester City 0).
Will Liverpool vs Manchester City have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 0% chance of over 2.5 goals and 0% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.