Champions League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Chelsea to win, giving Chelsea a
38.0% probability. Most likely scoreline: 0–0,
with a 0% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Chelsea 38.0%Draw 26.1%Liverpool 35.9%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
0–0
Expected goals (xG)
1.35 – 1.3
Over 2.5 goals
0%
Under 2.5 goals
0%
Team rating (Elo)
1690 vs 1767
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Chelsea vs Liverpool?
Our AI model favours Chelsea to win — Chelsea 38.0%, draw 26.1%, Liverpool 35.9%. Chelsea is the model's pick at 38.0%.
What is the predicted score for Chelsea vs Liverpool?
The model's most likely scoreline is 0–0 (Chelsea 0, Liverpool 0).
Will Chelsea vs Liverpool have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 0% chance of over 2.5 goals and 0% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.