Benfica vs Atlético Madrid Prediction & Model Analysis

Champions League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Benfica to win, giving Benfica a 44.1% probability. Most likely scoreline: 0–0, with a 0% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Win probability

Benfica 44.1% Draw 25.6% Atlético Madrid 30.3%

Model breakdown

MetricValue
Predicted score0–0
Expected goals (xG)1.49 – 1.19
Over 2.5 goals0%
Under 2.5 goals0%
Team rating (Elo)1602 vs 1643

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Benfica vs Atlético Madrid?
Our AI model favours Benfica to win — Benfica 44.1%, draw 25.6%, Atlético Madrid 30.3%. Benfica is the model's pick at 44.1%.
What is the predicted score for Benfica vs Atlético Madrid?
The model's most likely scoreline is 0–0 (Benfica 0, Atlético Madrid 0).
Will Benfica vs Atlético Madrid have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 0% chance of over 2.5 goals and 0% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
▶ See the full live model & track record at Soccer Predictor

More Champions League predictions

Benfica vs AjaxBenfica vs ArsenalBenfica vs AtalantaBenfica vs Athletic ClubBenfica vs BarcelonaBenfica vs Bayern MunichBenfica vs Bodø/GlimtBenfica vs Borussia Dortmund

Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.