Our AI model predicts Sociedad to win, giving Sociedad a
46.8% probability. Most likely scoreline: 2–1,
with a 49.6% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Sociedad 46.8%Draw 25.4%Alaves 27.8%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
2–1
Expected goals (xG)
1.54 – 1.12
Over 2.5 goals
49.6%
Under 2.5 goals
50.4%
Team rating (Elo)
1427 vs 1412
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Sociedad vs Alaves?
Our AI model favours Sociedad to win — Sociedad 46.8%, draw 25.4%, Alaves 27.8%. Sociedad is the model's pick at 46.8%.
What is the predicted score for Sociedad vs Alaves?
The model's most likely scoreline is 2–1 (Sociedad 2, Alaves 1).
Will Sociedad vs Alaves have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 49.6% chance of over 2.5 goals and 50.4% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.