Real Madrid vs Las Palmas Prediction & Model Analysis
La Liga · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Real Madrid to win, giving Real Madrid a
79.2% probability. Most likely scoreline: 3–1,
with a 66.2% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Real Madrid 79.2%Draw 13.4%Las Palmas 7.4%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
3–1
Expected goals (xG)
2.7 – 0.71
Over 2.5 goals
66.2%
Under 2.5 goals
33.8%
Team rating (Elo)
1665 vs 1327
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Real Madrid vs Las Palmas?
Our AI model favours Real Madrid to win — Real Madrid 79.2%, draw 13.4%, Las Palmas 7.4%. Real Madrid is the model's pick at 79.2%.
What is the predicted score for Real Madrid vs Las Palmas?
The model's most likely scoreline is 3–1 (Real Madrid 3, Las Palmas 1).
Will Real Madrid vs Las Palmas have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 66.2% chance of over 2.5 goals and 33.8% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.