Leganes vs Alaves Prediction & Model Analysis

La Liga · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Leganes to win, giving Leganes a 41.3% probability. Most likely scoreline: 1–1, with a 47.9% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Win probability

Leganes 41.3% Draw 26.3% Alaves 32.4%

Model breakdown

MetricValue
Predicted score1–1
Expected goals (xG)1.39 – 1.2
Over 2.5 goals47.9%
Under 2.5 goals52.1%
Team rating (Elo)1404 vs 1412

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Leganes vs Alaves?
Our AI model favours Leganes to win — Leganes 41.3%, draw 26.3%, Alaves 32.4%. Leganes is the model's pick at 41.3%.
What is the predicted score for Leganes vs Alaves?
The model's most likely scoreline is 1–1 (Leganes 1, Alaves 1).
Will Leganes vs Alaves have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 47.9% chance of over 2.5 goals and 52.1% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
▶ See the full live model & track record at Soccer Predictor

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Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.