Ath Madrid vs Alaves Prediction & Model Analysis

La Liga · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Ath Madrid to win, giving Ath Madrid a 60.5% probability. Most likely scoreline: 2–1, with a 53.3% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Win probability

Ath Madrid 60.5% Draw 21.9% Alaves 17.6%

Model breakdown

MetricValue
Predicted score2–1
Expected goals (xG)1.9 – 0.91
Over 2.5 goals53.3%
Under 2.5 goals46.7%
Team rating (Elo)1554 vs 1412

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Ath Madrid vs Alaves?
Our AI model favours Ath Madrid to win — Ath Madrid 60.5%, draw 21.9%, Alaves 17.6%. Ath Madrid is the model's pick at 60.5%.
What is the predicted score for Ath Madrid vs Alaves?
The model's most likely scoreline is 2–1 (Ath Madrid 2, Alaves 1).
Will Ath Madrid vs Alaves have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 53.3% chance of over 2.5 goals and 46.7% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
▶ See the full live model & track record at Soccer Predictor

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Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.