Our AI model predicts Alaves to win, giving Alaves a
50.8% probability. Most likely scoreline: 2–1,
with a 49.3% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Alaves 50.8%Draw 24.9%Almeria 24.3%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
2–1
Expected goals (xG)
1.61 – 1.03
Over 2.5 goals
49.3%
Under 2.5 goals
50.7%
Team rating (Elo)
1412 vs 1316
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Alaves vs Almeria?
Our AI model favours Alaves to win — Alaves 50.8%, draw 24.9%, Almeria 24.3%. Alaves is the model's pick at 50.8%.
What is the predicted score for Alaves vs Almeria?
The model's most likely scoreline is 2–1 (Alaves 2, Almeria 1).
Will Alaves vs Almeria have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 49.3% chance of over 2.5 goals and 50.7% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.