Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Arsenal to win, giving Arsenal a
58.3% probability. Most likely scoreline: 1–2,
with a 58.1% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Tottenham 20.0%Draw 21.7%Arsenal 58.3%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
1–2
Expected goals (xG)
1.06 – 1.96
Over 2.5 goals
58.1%
Under 2.5 goals
41.9%
Team rating (Elo)
1397 vs 1666
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Tottenham vs Arsenal?
Our AI model favours Arsenal to win — Tottenham 20.0%, draw 21.7%, Arsenal 58.3%. Arsenal is the model's pick at 58.3%.
What is the predicted score for Tottenham vs Arsenal?
The model's most likely scoreline is 1–2 (Tottenham 1, Arsenal 2).
Will Tottenham vs Arsenal have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 58.1% chance of over 2.5 goals and 41.9% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.