Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Newcastle to win, giving Newcastle a
45.0% probability. Most likely scoreline: 1–2,
with a 57.4% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Norwich 31.0%Draw 24.0%Newcastle 45.0%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
1–2
Expected goals (xG)
1.33 – 1.65
Over 2.5 goals
57.4%
Under 2.5 goals
42.6%
Team rating (Elo)
1296 vs 1474
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Norwich vs Newcastle?
Our AI model favours Newcastle to win — Norwich 31.0%, draw 24.0%, Newcastle 45.0%. Newcastle is the model's pick at 45.0%.
What is the predicted score for Norwich vs Newcastle?
The model's most likely scoreline is 1–2 (Norwich 1, Newcastle 2).
Will Norwich vs Newcastle have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 57.4% chance of over 2.5 goals and 42.6% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.