Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Brighton to win, giving Brighton a
66.3% probability. Most likely scoreline: 2–1,
with a 62.1% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Brighton 66.3%Draw 18.8%Burnley 14.9%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
2–1
Expected goals (xG)
2.24 – 0.96
Over 2.5 goals
62.1%
Under 2.5 goals
37.9%
Team rating (Elo)
1489 vs 1288
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Brighton vs Burnley?
Our AI model favours Brighton to win — Brighton 66.3%, draw 18.8%, Burnley 14.9%. Brighton is the model's pick at 66.3%.
What is the predicted score for Brighton vs Burnley?
The model's most likely scoreline is 2–1 (Brighton 2, Burnley 1).
Will Brighton vs Burnley have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 62.1% chance of over 2.5 goals and 37.9% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.