Brentford vs Aston Villa Prediction & Model Analysis
Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Brentford to win, giving Brentford a
39.9% probability. Most likely scoreline: 2–1,
with a 57.8% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Brentford 39.9%Draw 24.2%Aston Villa 35.9%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
2–1
Expected goals (xG)
1.55 – 1.46
Over 2.5 goals
57.8%
Under 2.5 goals
42.2%
Team rating (Elo)
1481 vs 1542
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Brentford vs Aston Villa?
Our AI model favours Brentford to win — Brentford 39.9%, draw 24.2%, Aston Villa 35.9%. Brentford is the model's pick at 39.9%.
What is the predicted score for Brentford vs Aston Villa?
The model's most likely scoreline is 2–1 (Brentford 2, Aston Villa 1).
Will Brentford vs Aston Villa have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 57.8% chance of over 2.5 goals and 42.2% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.