Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Arsenal to win, giving Arsenal a
75.1% probability. Most likely scoreline: 3–1,
with a 64.6% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Arsenal 75.1%Draw 15.4%Norwich 9.6%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
3–1
Expected goals (xG)
2.53 – 0.79
Over 2.5 goals
64.6%
Under 2.5 goals
35.4%
Team rating (Elo)
1666 vs 1296
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Arsenal vs Norwich?
Our AI model favours Arsenal to win — Arsenal 75.1%, draw 15.4%, Norwich 9.6%. Arsenal is the model's pick at 75.1%.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Norwich?
The model's most likely scoreline is 3–1 (Arsenal 3, Norwich 1).
Will Arsenal vs Norwich have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 64.6% chance of over 2.5 goals and 35.4% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.